- How do Russia and China think about and prepare for conflict with the US and its allies?
- What are their theories of victory across the full conflict continuum (peacetime, crisis, and war)?
- Are they gaining new strategic advantages?
- How has Russia’s shift from competition to confrontation altered the tripolar calculus?
The Delicate Balance Redux: The Role of Nuclear Forces, Damage Limitation and Uncertainty in Future U.S.-China Crises, CGSR, Benjamin Bahney, Braden Soper (June 2024)
Above Scorched Skies: A Story of Modern Warfare and World Power, eBook, Zachary S. Davis (June 2024)
Russian Net Assessment and the European Security Balance, Livermore Papers on Global Security, Jacek Durkalec (March 2024)
Rethinking Mutual Vulnerability in an era of US-China Strategic Competition, Pacific Forum, Brad Roberts (May 2022)
Germany and NATO's Nuclear Deterrent, Federal Academy for Security Policy, Brad Roberts (July 2021)
China's Strategic Future, in Paul Bolt, ed., China as a 21st Century Strategic Power, (April 2021)
Taking Stock: U.S.–China Track 1.5 Nuclear Dialogue, CGSR Occasional Paper, Brad Roberts (December 2020)
Living With a Nuclear-Arming North Korea, 38 North Special Report, Brad Roberts (November 2020)
Toward New Thinking About Our Changed and Changing World: A Five-Year CGSR Progress Report, CGSR Occasional Paper, Brad Roberts (October 2020)
Fit for Purpose? The U.S. Strategic Posture in 2030 and Beyond, CGSR Occasional Paper, Brad Roberts (October 2020)
The Bishops and the Bomb, Take Two, Texas National Security Review, Brad Roberts (September 2019)
Why Creating a Space Force Changes Nothing, Foreign Affairs, Benjamin Bahney, Jonathan Pearl (March 2019)
Anti-Satellite Weapons and the Instability of Deterrence, Chapter 6 in Cross-Domain Deterrence: Strategy in an Era of Complexity, Oxford University Press, Benjamin Bahney, Jonathan Pearl, Michael Markey (February 2019)
Russian Multi-Domain Strategy against NATO: information confrontation and U.S. forward-deployed nuclear weapons in Europe, CGSR, Lesley Kucharski (February 2019)
Implementing the Hedge Strategy in the 2018 Nuclear Posture Review, CGSR, Aaron R. Miles (January 2019)
Strategic Competition in China-US Relations, Livermore Papers on Global Security, Michael Nacht, Sarah Laderman, Julie Beeston (October 2018)
Understanding the New U.S. Policy Context, Strategic Weapons in the 21st Century, Karen Miller, Jacek Durkalec, Ashley Bahney, Brad Roberts (March 2018)
Continuity and Change in U.S. Nuclear Policy, RealClear Defense, John R. Harvey, Franklin C. Miller, Keith B. Payne, Brad Roberts (February 2018)
Russia's Conventional Precision Strike Capabilities, Regional Crises, and Nuclear Thresholds, Livermore Papers on Global Security, Dave Johnson (February 2018)
Strategic Stability Under Obama and Trump, Survival, 59:4, 47-74, DOI: 10.1080/00396338.2017.1349780, Brad Roberts (August 2017)
Protecting Falsehoods With a Bodyguard of Lies: Putin's Use of Information Warfare to Promote Regime Survival and Renewed Great Power Status, NATO Defence Colleye, Deborah Yarsike Ball (February 2017)
Remixing the 'Appropriate Mix' Reassessing NATO's Deterrence and Defense Posture in the Face of New Threats, , Anthony Juarez (July 2016)
The Case for U.S. Nuclear Weapons in the 21st Century, Stanford University Press, Brad Roberts (January 2015)
On the Strategic Value of Ballistic Missile Defense, Proliferation Paper 50, Institut Français des Relations Internationales, Security Studies Center, Brad Roberts (January 2014)
Nuclear Posture and Nuclear Proliferation: Experimental Evidence from South Korea , Dr. Ariel Petrovics (May 20, 2025)
Assessing China’s Strategic Relationships: A Conceptual Overview , Dr. Phillip C. Saunders (April 24, 2025)
The New Nuclear Age: At the Precipice of Armageddon , Ankit Panda (April 8, 2025)
Under the Nuclear Shadow: China’s Information-Age Weapons in International Security , Dr. Fiona Cunningham (March 10, 2025)
First, we will defend the homeland: The case for homeland missile defense , Dr. Robert M. Soofer and Mr. Mark J. Massa (March 6, 2025)
Double Trouble: The Intense US-China Stability-Instability Paradox and Limited War in East Asia , Henrik Stålhane Hiim and Øystein Tunsjø (February 25, 2025)
PRC Thinking on Strategic Deterrence and Implications for Cross-Strait Stability , Dr. Joel Wuthnow (January 14, 2025)
Separating the Signal from the Nuclear Noise in Russia: Russia's Political-Military Establishment Debates Credibility of Nuclear Threats and Potential Nuclear Employment , Gabriela Hernandez and Cornell Overfield (November 19, 2024)
Russian Net Assessment of Escalation Management in War Against NATO , Dr. Jacek Durkalec (July 8, 2024)
Proportionality and the Military Targeting of Nuclear Plants , Henry Sokolski (June 17, 2024)
The Russian Way of Deterrence: Reconstitution of Russian Coercion Theory and Strategy following the War in Ukraine , Dr. Dmitry (Dima) Adamsky (May 2, 2024)
Nukes vs. Tanks: The Challenge of Putin and the Future of European Security , Dr. Josef Joffe (March 21, 2024)
How China Is Winning the Battle for Digital Sovereignty , Aynne Kokas (March 11, 2024)
Long-term trajectory of Russia's military strategy and strategic capabilities , Dave Johnson (March 5, 2024)
The Future of U.S.-Russian Relations , Dr. Thomas Graham (February 8, 2024)
The End of Arms Control? , Dr. Joseph F. Pilat (January 11, 2024)
Integrating AI and Wargaming: Opportunities and Challenges , Dr. Ivanka Barzashka (December 12, 2023)
The Russian War on Ukraine: Update and Outcomes , Ambassador William Taylor (May 25, 2023)
Power in the Age of Artificial Intelligence , Dr. Paul Scharre (May 4, 2023)
Diplomatic and Technical Challenges of Verifying Compliance with the CWC and BWC , Ambassador Kenneth D. Ward (April 6, 2023)
Hinge Points: An Inside Look at North Korea's Nuclear Program , Siegfried Hecker (March 20, 2023)
Inheriting the Bomb: The Past and Present of Ukraine's Nuclear Disarmament , Dr. Mariana Budjeryn (February 14, 2023)
Accidental Czar: the Life and Lies of Vladimir Putin , Mr. Andrew Weiss (January 11, 2023)
The Biden Administration's Nuclear Posture and Missile Defense Reviews: Implications for the U.S.-China Nuclear Relationship , Dr. Tong Zhao (January 5, 2023)
Russia, Ukraine, and the Future of Deterrence , Professor Wyn Bowen (October 27, 2022)
Striking Asymmetries: Nuclear Transitions in Southern Asia , Dr. Ashley Tellis (October 25, 2022)
Looking Ahead to China's 20th Party Congress , Dr. Andrew Mertha (September 21, 2022)
China's and Russia's Nuclear and Space Convergence and Divergence , Dr. Lora Saalman (September 7, 2022)
Threshold Alliance: Assessing the China-Pakistan Military Relationship , Dr. Sameer Lalwani (August 25, 2022)
Russia's AI Innovation Trajectory: An Uncertain Future , Dr. Margarita Konaev (July 19, 2022)
Deterring Aggression by Major Power Adversaries: Insights from Wargaming and Analysis , David Ochmanek (July 7, 2022)
Adjusting Strategy and Policy to an Eroding Deterrence Environment , Gregory Weaver (June 16, 2022)
U.S.-China Technological Decoupling , Jon Bateman (June 2, 2022)
After Russia's War on Ukraine , Ambassador William B. Taylor (May 19, 2022)
Lessons in Deterrence from Russia's War in Ukraine , Dr. Aaron Miles (April 5, 2022)
Dynamics of U.S.-China Military Competition: How Intense and How Interactive? , Dr. Phillip C. Saunders (April 4, 2022)
The Future of European Security , James Goldgeier (February 7, 2022)
Russia, Ukraine and U.S. Security , Ambassador William B. Taylor (January 25, 2022)
Options for Deterring Russia , Keir Giles (January 10, 2022)
Drivers and Limits to Russian Foreign Policy in Asia, from Peter the Great to Putin , Chris Miller (December 2, 2021)
China's Nuclear Modernization and its Implications , Tong Zhao (November 1, 2021)
The Strategy of Denial: American Defense in an Age of Great Power Conflict , Elbridge Colby (October 4, 2021)
The Sino-Russian Partnership and Global Order , Mr. Bobo Lo (September 21, 2021)
China's Evolving Nuclear Posture , Dr. Chris Twomey (August 3, 2021)
Alliances and Nuclear Risk: Evidence from the Cold War, Implications for Today , Caitlin Talmadge & Brendan Green (June 1, 2021)
2030 NATO Reflection Group Report , Wess Mitchell (March 11, 2021)
China as a Twenty First Century Naval Power , Rear Admiral Michael McDevitt, USN, (retired) (January 21, 2021)
Russian Nuclear Strategy and Conventional Inferiority , Kristin Ven Bruusgaard (January 19, 2021)
US-Russia Conflict and International Security , Matthew Rojansky (December 1, 2020)
Russia's Military Build-Up in the Arctic:to What End? , Dr. Katarzyna Zysk (November 18, 2020)
