Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory



durkalec1@llnl.gov (925) 422-0370

Dr. Jacek Durkalec is a Postdoctoral Research Fellow at the Center for Global Security Research (CGSR) at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory. His research focuses on US policy of extended nuclear deterrence, in particular its role and impact on European security in the context of current global challenges and increasingly integrated spheres of strategic deterrence and influence. His areas of interest also include NATO deterrence and defense policy, nuclear and conventional arms control, missile defense, and WMD non-proliferation.

Prior to joining LLNL, from 2010 to 2017, he was a Research Analyst at the Polish Institute of International Affairs (PISM). He was also a Staff Member in the Missile Defence Office of the Polish Ministry of National Defence in 2009-2010, and an intern in the Strategic Planning Unit of the Executive Office of the Secretary-General of the United Nations in 2008.

Jacek holds a doctorate in Political Science (2016) and master’s degree in International Relations (2008) from the Jagiellonian University, Krakow, Poland. His doctoral dissertation examined how, why and to what extent U.S. extended deterrence arrangements in Europe and in the Asia-Pacific (particularly Australia, Japan, and South Korea) create security interdependencies between the U.S. allies in these two regions. The dissertation benefitted from his research at the National Security Affairs Department of the Naval Postgraduate School in Monterey, CA, where he was a Visiting Scholar in 2015. The research was funded by the “Etiuda 2” scholarship awarded by the Polish National Science Centre.

He authored book chapters, reports, articles and analyses, and contributed as a speaker to number of conferences and seminars. He is a member of CSIS PONI Mid-Career Cadre of Nuclear Professionals.

Selected Publications:

“NATO Nuclear Adaptation at the Warsaw Summit” [w:] NATO and Collective Defense in The 21st Century: An Assessment of the Warsaw Summit, K. Friis (ed.), Routledge 2017.

“Strengthening European Security: Responsible Nuclear Reassurance” [in:] O. Meier, E. Suh (eds.), Reviving Nuclear Disarmament. Paths Towards a Joint Enterprise, SWP Working Paper, FG03 No. 06, Berlin, December 2016.

“Russia’s evolving nuclear strategy and what it means for Europe”, Commentary, European Council for Foreign Relations (ECFR), 5 July 2016.

“NATO’s Nuclear Deterrence: Closing Credibility Gaps”, The Polish Quarterly of International Affairs, no.1/2016, pp. 37-50 (with M. Kroenig).

“NATO must adapt to address Russia’s nuclear brinkmanship”, European Leadership Network, 30 October 2015.

“Scenarios for Russia's Withdrawal from the INF Treaty”, Bulletin PISM, no. 97 (829), October 2015.

Nuclear-Backed “Little Green Men:” Nuclear Messaging in the Ukraine Crisis, Polish Institute of International Affairs, Warsaw, July 2015.

“Konferencja Przeglądowa Traktatu o nierozprzestrzenianiu broni jadrowej (NPT) w 2015 roku: nowy kompromis lub ryzyko erozji” [2015 NPT Review Conference: New Compromise or Risk of Erosion], Polish Institute of International Affairs, Warsaw, April 2015 (co-authored with A. Kacprzyk, M.A. Piotrowski). [in Polish]

“Russia’s Violation of the INF Treaty: Consequences for NATO”, Bulletin PISM, no. 107 (702), August 2014.

Options for Transparency and Confidence-Building Measures Related to Non-Strategic Nuclear Weapons in Europe: Cost-Benefit Matrix, Polish Institute of International Affairs, Warsaw, July 2014 (co-authored with A. Zagorski).

“The Role of Missile Defence in NATO Deterrence” [in:] M.A. Piotrowski (ed.), Regional Approaches to the role of Missile Defence in Reducing Nuclear Threats, Polish Institute of International Affairs, Warsaw, July 2013.

The Warsaw Workshop: Prospects for Information Sharing and Confidence Building on Non-Strategic Nuclear Weapons in Europe, Polish Institute of International Affairs, the Nuclear Policy Program of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, and the Norwegian Institute for Defence Studies, Warsaw, April 2013 (co-authored with P. Schulte, P.S. Hilde, K. Zysk, Ł. Kulesa).

“After the DDPR: Central and Eastern European Perspectives” [in:] A. Berger, H. Chalmers, M. Chalmers (eds.), “A Problem Deferred? NATO Non-Strategic Nuclear Weapons after Chicago”, Whitehall Report, 4-12, RUSI, October 2012.

“The Proliferation Security Initiative: Evolution and Future Prospects”, EU Non-Proliferation Papers, no. 16, June 2012.

“NATO Defence and Deterrence Posture: Central and Eastern European Perspectives”, PISM Policy Paper, no. 29, 15 May 2012.

“NATO Missile Defence: In search of a broader role”, The Polish Quarterly of International Affairs, vol. 21, no. 1, Winter 2012.